One of the input gases for an

 

One of the input gases for an acetylene unit is purchased and piped from another plant. The gas is usually within 5% (relative) of the 98% purity required for the reactions. If the gas composition ever deviates from the required purity by more than 15%, an explosion is very likely to occur. If there have been three explosions in the past l O years, what is the probability, now that the plant is operating again, of its operating safely for the next 5 years? No new safety or warning devices have been installed and the same gas producer is being used.

 

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