In his online article “Using a

In his online article “Using a Mechanistic Eutrophication Model for Water Quality Management of the Neuse River,” civil engineering professor J. D. Bowen explains the use of mechanistic models in water quality management and addresses somedirect questions regarding the use of such models. Read that article, which is available at http://www.coe.uncc.edu/∼jdbowen/jdb.101.pdf, and comment on it. In particular, comment on the statement: “Mechanistic models need not be deterministic, if the modeling effort includes an analysis of prediction uncertainty.” Would you expect a mechanistic model applied to water quality management to ever be deterministic (i.e., without error)? What does this suggest about the type of models that should be used in water quality management?

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